23rd Annual Summer Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, July 20-22, 2006
PROGRAM
THURSDAY:
9:00-9:15 Welcome
9:15-10:45 Henry Brady and Iris Hui (UC-Berkeley), "Is it Worth Going the Extra Mile to Improve Causal Inference?" Discussant: Kosuke Imai (Princeton)
11:00-12:30 Simon Jackman (Stanford), Neal Beck (NYU), and Howard Rosenthal (Princeton) "Presidential Approval: the case
of George W. Bush." Discussant: Gregory Wawro (Columbia)
12:30-2:00 Box Lunch on the Lawn
2:00-3:30
Session A:
Kentaro Fukumoto (Gakushuin University), "Estimating Incumbency Advantage without the Simultaneity Bias:
Strategic Incumbents, Challengers, and Contributors." Discussant: Ken Shotts (Stanford)
Session B:
Kevin Quinn (Harvard), Burt Monroe (Penn State), Michael Colaresi (Michigan State), Michael Crespin
(Georgia), Dragomir Radev (Michigan),
"Legislative Rhetoric and Policy Agendas." Discussant: Kristin Kanthak (Pittsburgh)
3:45-5:30 Duncan Temple Lang (UC-Davis Statistics),
"Some Thoughts on Computing Environments for Statistics: Past, Present and Future." Discussant: Jas Sekhon (UC-Berkeley)
5:30-5:45 Instructions for reception, dinner, buses, and other announcements
8:00 - 9:15Workshop: the State of Survey Research, Jon Krosnick (Stanford)
9:30-11:00 Rob Franzese and Jude C. Hays (Michigan), "Spatial-Econometric Models for Political Science." Discussant: Michael Peress (Carnegie-Mellon)
11:15-12:45 Christopher Achen (Princeton), "Expressive Bayesian Voters and their Turnout Decisions." Discussant: Melanie Springer (Washington University).
12:45-1:45 Box Lunch on the Lawn
1:45-3:15
Session A:
Mark Pickup (Oxford), "A State-Space Bayesian Approach to Economic Popularity Functions." Discussant: Karen Long Jusko (Michigan)
Session B:
Kenneth William (Michigan State), Anna Bassi and Rebecca Morton (NYU),
"Incentives, Complexity, and Motivations in Experiments." Discussant: Gabriel Lenz (MIT)
5:00-5:30 Business meeting: Society for Political Methodology
5:30-7:00 Poster session and refreshments in the Alumni Center
7:00- Dinner: Morrison's
California-Mexican Cuisine (Woodland) on the
Alumni Center patio with UCD student jazz band
SATURDAY:
8:00-9:15Workshop: Bayesian Time Series, Patrick Brandt (University of Texas at Dallas) and John Freeman
(Minnesota)
9:30-11:00 Curt Signorino and Taehee Whang (Rochester), "Knowing One's Future Preferences: A Correlated Agent
Model with Bayesian Updating." Discussant: Sean Gailmard (Northwestern)
11:15-12:45 Walter Mebane (Cornell), "Using Benford's Law and Randomization to Detect Election Fraud." Discussant: Micah Altman, Harvard
12:45-1:45 Box Lunch on the Lawn
1:45-3:15 Ying Lu (Harvard) and Xiaohui Wang (Virginia),
"A Random Effect Bayesian Model for Estimating Complex Structure of Ideal Points." Discussant: Andrew Martin (Washington University)
3:30-5:00 James Honaker (UCLA) and Gary King (Harvard), "What to do about Missing Values in Time-Series Cross-Section Data." Discussant: Adam Berinsky (MIT)
